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red flags in a deal

Red Flags in a Deal: What to Watch Before You Invest

July 10, 2025

When you start looking at private investments, whether through crowdfunding platforms, direct startup pitches, or informal opportunities, it can be easy to get swept up by vision, hype, or your personal excitement.

Spotting red flags in a deal is critical. It protects your capital and keeps you from putting money into businesses that are unlikely to deliver a return. Here are some of the most important warning signs to look for.

1. Vague or inconsistent financials

A strong company should be able to show clear financial statements or projections. Be cautious if:

  • Revenue numbers shift from one conversation to the next.
  • Expenses are left out or glossed over.
  • They avoid discussing margins, burn rate, or cash runway.

Even early-stage businesses should be transparent about how they plan to use capital and what realistic outcomes look like.

2. No real plan to reach customers

You want to see more than big market sizes and buzzwords. A red flag is a company that cannot clearly explain:

  • Who the customers are.
  • How they plan to find and sell to them.
  • What it costs to acquire those customers.

If they lean on phrases like “it will go viral” or “everyone needs this,” without a serious go-to-market plan, that is a problem.

3. Overly complex ownership structures

Ask to see the cap table. Be wary if ownership is scattered across many parties with unclear stakes or if there are multiple layers of entities. Complexity can hide major issues like:

  • Large portions of equity already promised.
  • Heavy preferred stock structures that push you to the back of the line in an exit.
  • Convertible notes stacking up without a clear view of how they will convert.

4. Founders who dodge questions

Investors ask hard questions. It is normal. A good team will answer them directly or get you data quickly. If you see founders who:

  • Get defensive.
  • Offer broad non-answers.
  • Try to steer you to other topics.

These really signal trouble. You want founders who can have tough conversations without flinching.

5. Unrealistic growth projections

It is one thing to be ambitious. It is another to claim the company will go from $100,000 in sales to $50 million in three years with no clear milestones or operational plan.

Look for:

  • Revenue projections that line up with hiring, marketing spend, and industry benchmarks.
  • Sensible assumptions behind the forecast, like customer retention and margins.

If the numbers feel inflated with no path to achieve them, that is a serious red flag.

6. Missing or sloppy legal documents

Any serious deal should come with clear legal paperwork. Be cautious if you see:

  • No operating agreement or shareholder agreements.
  • SAFEs, convertible notes, or investment contracts that seem incomplete.
  • Unexplained changes in terms at the last minute.

Of course this is about trust but moreso, solid paperwork protects your rights if things go wrong.

The bottom line

Seeing a few minor issues does not always kill a deal. Startups and small businesses are messy by nature. But spotting consistent red flags in a deal (vague financials, evasive founders, unclear ownership, missing plans to reach customers, and sloppy documents) should make you pause.

It is also worth noting that sometimes there are no obvious red flags at all. The business is solid, the numbers check out, the team is capable … and you still just do not feel excited to invest. That is a perfectly valid reason to pass. You do not need a smoking gun to say no.

Being a disciplined investor is about more than avoiding bad deals. It is about placing capital only where you have conviction. That is often how you protect your money for the opportunities that truly energize you.